Since the last federal election in Germany (2009), eight polling institutes have been publishing polls on people’s voting intentions for the next federal election at more or less regular intervals.
The institutes arrive at markedly different and, in some cases, contradictory results in relation to the voting intentions of those surveyed, even though the surveys are conducted at almost the same time. On the one hand, this can be put down to the different surveying methods used and institute-specific factors. On the other hand, surveys do of course have a high margin of error due to the number of people surveyed being too small. In addition, institutes are also repeatedly accused of politically influencing public opinion through the publication of results.
This is why pollytix strategic research gmbh created the pollytix german election trend as a free service for people with an interest in German politics.
Dating back to the 2009 federal election, the pollytix german election trend provides a daily report on the weighted average of all polls on people’s voting intentions relating to the federal election that were conducted in the previous 20 days. Up-to-date, accurate and politically neutral.
When calculating the daily values, the pollytix german election trend takes into account all published voting intention polls from the previous 20 days, incorporating up to 15 surveys by 8 institutes with up to 30,000 respondents. You can find more information on the methodology here.
The advantage: Up-to-date results without anomalies and with a margin of error that is generally well below one per cent.